Dynamic Alpha Macro Fund (DYMIX): July 2025 Overview

peRFORMANCE METRICS

* Gross Expense Ratio is 2.00%.  Net Expense Ratio is 1.98%.
* Fund inception was 7/31/2023.
Performance data shown represents past performance and is not a guarantee of future results. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. Updated performance information and daily net asset value per share (“NAV”) is available at no cost by calling toll-free 1-833-462-6344.

Dynamic Alpha Macro Fund July 2025 overview pie chart illustrates overall strategy allocation—48.6 % Global Macro, 20.8 % Growth Equities, 19.1 % Dividend Equities, 10.5 % Core Equities, and 1.0 % Cash—highlighting the fund’s dynamic alpha, dual-strategy global macro diversification. Dynamic Wealth Group posted this image. Visit https://www.DynamicWG.com.

This Month’s Performance

The Fund returned -4.32% in July (S&P 500 +2.24%). Most of the drawdown came in the final days of the month as cross-asset volatility increased, with macro exposures (primarily Copper) detracting more than equities added. Energy helped cushion the move, but not enough to offset the broader risk.

In keeping with our risk-management playbook, we cut gross exposure into the selloff, prioritized liquidity, and preserved flexibility for redeployment as conditions stabilize. Year-to-date performance stands at +4.73%, with +14.39% (annualized) since inception. We continue to believe that the portfolio’s dual-strategy design can be additive over a full cycle by sourcing equity-like returns from non-correlated drivers.

July: Flat Performance Until the Last Two Days

Market returns are log-normally distributed. Sometimes you lose in a day what you would expect to lose in a bad month. That’s pretty much what happened in July. Our performance was perfectly flat for the month up until the last two days, when we lost close to 9% (in the global macro side, 5.35% for the fund overall as stocks were also down slightly) over a two-day span. Although not enjoyable, the moves were not unprecedented given how markets can behave at times. 

What happened?

  • Negative performance for the month was driven half by copper and half by a mix of short US dollar, long precious metals, and long 2-year Treasury positions. Long crude oil slightly offset some of the losses. We had kept our copper position moderately sized in light of the risk of Trump’s ever-changing policies; the magnitude of the drop in the price of copper still had a material impact on our performance.
  • Copper tumbled after the Trump administration offered further guidance on their copper tariff policy, with a notice that confirmed tariffs of 50% on semi-finished copper imports. However, the market had expected tariffs on raw or refined copper imports as well, and the absence of those latter tariffs sent the copper market down -17%, to its worst one-day performance ever.
  • The drop in copper was potentially exacerbated by hedge fund de-risking and quantitative algorithms that pushed the price down. The copper market has now completely closed the spread that had opened between COMEX (the US copper market) and LME (global copper market) copper.

What did we do in response?

  • We simply followed our pre-set risk management parameters by decreasing our exposures to minimize further performance drawdown during the month.
  • We completely covered our long position in natural gas, our long position in the Japanese yen, and we covered half of our long position in copper.
  • Our portfolio finished the month with six positions, down from nine earlier in the month.

What do we believe moving forward?

  • We have full confidence that all the positions in our portfolio will perform well in the months and quarters ahead. Despite the one-day drop, we believe that we are on the cusp of a multi-year bull market in copper due to lack of mine supply and increased demand from electric vehicles, AI data centers, and solar photovoltaic panels. If we are right, the price of copper could double or triple over the next 3-5 years based on our analysis.
  • That said, the damage to the copper chart is real, and we don’t want to tie up capital unnecessarily in the red metal if it needs a few quarters to consolidate and grind its way back higher – we will carry our reduced position for now and wait for the market to press back above $5.50 before we add back the piece that we removed just now.
  • We have similar conviction on natural gas and the Japanese yen – we will look to re-build the positions we removed in late July later in the year as market price action improves.

Three themes: two that we are all talking about, and one that is being completely missed

  1. Tariffs. The markets are clearly happy that the worst-case scenario has been averted with the 15% rates applied to Japan and the European Union. These are still very high rates compared to what everyone expected Trump might do after his election win last November. We believe that companies are finally going to begin to raise consumer prices – effectively a tax, and one that slows down growth.

Dynamic Alpha Macro Fund analysis chart depicts quarterly year-over-year impact of government policy drivers—BBB positives and drags, DOGE effects, tariffs, and immigration—on U.S. growth from 1Q25 to 4Q27, with a red line tracing total contribution shifting from roughly –1.4 % to near zero, informing our global macro fund macro strategy and dynamic alpha macro performance overview. Dynamic Wealth Group posted this image. Visit https://www.DynamicWG.com.

Figure 1: Source: Nonconsensus calculations

Wage gains have atrophied, and tariffs are likely to be a drag on growth rather than a catalyst for an inflationary impulse.

Negative growth impacts from the tariffs (orange bars above) will have a more pronounced impact on growth moving forward than the positives from tax cuts and fiscal spending (navy bars) in the BBB (Big Beautiful Bill).

  • Huge revisions to job growth in May and June. The weakest jobs report in five years landed on Friday, July 31st, and although the number that posted for July was weak, the bigger news was the -258,000 revisions to the previous two months, with private sector job gains ex-healthcare slowing to a recessionary pace. Headline payroll growth has slowed dramatically:

Dynamic Alpha Macro Fund chart tracking monthly U.S. nonfarm payroll additions (blue bars, thousands) from Jan 2023 through Jul 2025, with a black three-month average line that slopes from roughly 420 K to near 50 K, offering insight into our macro strategy and risk management within the global macro fund’s dynamic alpha portfolio. Dynamic Wealth Group posted this image. Visit https://www.DynamicWG.com.

Figure 2: Source: Pantheon Macro

  • Lastly, a monumental sea change in Chinese policy that is being missed as 1 and 2 above take the headlines in Western media. In recent weeks China has begun rolling out new supply side policies to fight both price wars by its corporates as well as deflationary pressures overall.  These policies are known as neijuan, or involution, designed to prevent unproductive competition that drives profit margins to zero across an industry.

Given China’s dominance in global manufacturing, the implications are bullish for commodities in general, from polysilicon and cement to aluminum, copper, and silver. Note that this development is structural in nature and should support our copper and silver positions over a multi-year horizon, whereas Trump’s tariff whims are creating volatility on a very near-term basis. It’s news like this from the world’s leading producer and consumer of commodities that augments our existing bullish conviction despite the uncertainty created by U.S. policymakers.

We look forward to updating you again in September. Please feel free to reach out if we can provide additional clarification on specific ideas, or the portfolio more broadly.



As always, we continue to be nimble. If the data and/or our views change, we can pivot our positioning and find other trades within the 40+ markets we have available. This is also why we maintain a strategic allocation to U.S. equities in our overall fund strategy, balancing a buy-and-hold approach with active global macro long/short positions. 

We Are Here To Help

We appreciate your continued trust and partnership and look forward to updating you on our progress in the coming months. Please feel free to reach out if we can provide additional clarification on specific ideas or the portfolio more broadly.

If you are a financial advisor and would like more information on our multi-dimensional approach towards asset management, you can download our white paper titled Busting Seven Risk and Return Myths by visiting our website at DynamicWG.com, or email us at info@DynamicWG.com. If you are an individual investor, we are happy to address any questions you may have and put you in touch with a qualified advisor, if so desired.

** In 2022 Liz Truss, Britain’s Prime Minister, announced a “mini-budget” that included unfunded deficits that no longer seem outrageous in hindsight, particular given the U.S. deficit in recent years. However, it happened to be the proverbial “straw that broke the camel’s back”, and the pound plummeted while U.K long-end rates screamed higher. Truss had to backtrack quickly and was out of office a few weeks later.


EQUITY INDICESENERGYMETALS
E-mini NASDAQ
E-Mini Russell 2000
E-mini S&P 500
MSCI EAFE Index
MSCI EM Index
Nikkei 225
Crude oil
Natural gas
NY Harbor ULSD
RBOB Gasoline
Copper
Gold
Palladium
Platinum
Silver

INTEREST RATESCURRENCYAGRICULTURE
SOFR
2-year Treasury note
5-year Treasury note
10-year Treasury note
30-Year Treasury
Australian dollar
Brazilian Real
British pound
Canadian dollar
Euro
Japanese yen
Mexican peso
New Zealand dollar
Swiss Franc
Cocoa
Coffee
Corn
Cotton
Feeder cattle
Lean hogs
Live cattle
Soybean meal
Soybean oil
Soybeans
Sugar #11
Wheat

The list above is not all inclusive.


Disclaimers:

Dynamic Alpha Approach diagram: a circle split into Strategic Equity (growth, broad market, and dividend) and Fundamental Macro (currencies, equities, bonds, energies, metals, and agriculture), combined to pursue Dynamic Alpha. This image was posted by Dynamic Alpha Funds https://www.DynamicAlphaFunds.com
Morningstar 5-Star Overall Rating seal awarded to the Dynamic Alpha Macro Fund (DYMIX). This image was posted by Dynamic Alpha Funds https://www.DynamicAlphaFunds.com

Dynamic Alpha Macro Fund Institutional Class (DYMIX)

Received a 5-Star Overall Morningstar Rating™.

The Overall Morningstar Rating™ is based on the Fund’s risk-adjusted performance among 37 Macro Trading funds for the three-year period ended September 30, 2026.

Get Notified When New Commentaries are Released

You are now entering the
website
Continue