Dynamic Alpha Macro Fund (DYMIX): August 2025 Overview

peRFORMANCE METRICS

* Gross Expense Ratio is 2.00%.  Net Expense Ratio is 1.98%.
* Fund inception was 7/31/2023.
Performance data shown represents past performance and is not a guarantee of future results. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. Updated performance information and daily net asset value per share (“NAV”) is available at no cost by calling toll-free 1-833-462-6344.

Pie chart illustrating August 2025 overall strategy allocation across multiple asset classes, with 48% allocated to global macro strategy, 19% each to growth equities and dividend equities, 9.5% to core equities, and 4.5% in cash. This allocation highlights Dynamic Wealth Group’s diversified approach, balancing the cotton futures market with non-correlated assets such as U.S. equity ETFs and precious metals, while aligning with broader macroeconomic themes including the gold bull market, silver industrial demand, 2-year treasury yield movements, and British pound outlook. Dynamic Wealth Group posted this image. Visit https://www.DynamicWG.com.

Contributors                            

  • Long: 2-Year Treasury, British Pound, Gold, Silver, Copper, Strategic Equities      
  • Short: None                                    

Detractors                                

  • Long: Oil, Cotton                                              
  • Short: Coffee                                 

Current Positions (as of 8/31/2025)                                   

  • Long: 2-Year Treasury, British Pound, Gold, Silver, Cotton, Strategic Equities       
  • Short: Coffee

This Month’s Performance

August marked a constructive reversal from July’s headwinds, with results led by our macro sleeve while our strategic U.S.-equity allocation provided steady support. As several fundamental trends reasserted themselves, the portfolio benefited from diversified, non-correlated drivers rather than a single risk factor.  This is consistent with our objective to compound through varied market regimes.

Overall, the month showcased why our dual-strategy approach—strategic equity exposure complemented by an actively managed global macro book—can be additive. We seek equity-like returns with lower correlation by balancing the portfolio between non-correlated positions in global macros and U.S. equities.  As always we stand ready to make adjustments to the positions as the data evolves.

Cotton

“Cotton on the roadside, cotton in the ditch; we all picked the cotton, but we never got rich” – Song of the South

The quote above from a well-known song by Bob McDill tells the story of a cotton farming family during the Great Depression. Although the lyrics reflect hardship during the 1930s, the truth is that cotton has been a tough market to make money in as a grower for most of the last century.

The chart at the top of page 2 shows the price of cotton from the late 1950s to the present. Outside of two price spikes in 2010/2011 and in 2021/2022, the cotton price has averaged roughly 70 cents per pound – unchanged in nominal terms for decades.

In recent years the price has dropped toward the lower end of the range it has historically traded in. The boom in demand for goods (clothing) driven by Covid stimulus in 2020 and 2021 has faded. Yields and weather have been favorable: as a globally grown crop, U.S. produced cotton (the futures contract that we trade only allows for delivery of U.S. origin cotton) competes with cotton sourced elsewhere.

Starting in the 1960s, cotton faced increased pressure from synthetic fibers such as polyester – these fibers are produced with petroleum as an input, and as oil prices have declined in recent years, additional downward pressure has been exerted on cotton as materials that compete with cotton clothing have become cheaper to produce.

Cotton: long-term no nominal price gains

Historical price chart of cotton futures from 1960 through September 2025, showing cyclical peaks in the 1970s, late 1990s, 2011, and 2022, followed by a moderate decline into 2025. The long-term trend reflects volatility tied to global macroeconomic conditions, soft commodities investing, and supply-demand shifts. This cotton futures market performance is analyzed alongside themes such as gold bull market momentum, silver industrial demand, 2-year treasury yield changes, and the British pound outlook, highlighting the role of non-correlated assets within a diversified global macro strategy. Dynamic Wealth Group posted this image. Visit https://www.DynamicWG.com.

After the price boomed during Covid, declining demand and decent growing weather has pushed the price back down. Yet despite continued bearish news (poor demand in China; lack of weather-related stress), the price has “dug in”, grinding along in a quiet 12-month base:

Cotton: short-term 12-month basing after Covid boom/bust

Daily price chart of cotton futures from 2017 through September 2025, highlighting a sharp rally into early 2022, peaking above 140, followed by a steep decline and stabilization in the 60s by 2025. The trend reflects volatility driven by macroeconomic shifts, soft commodities investing, and global supply-demand dynamics. This cotton futures market analysis is viewed within the context of a broader global macro strategy, including gold bull market positioning, silver industrial demand, 2-year treasury yield movements, British pound outlook, and the role of non-correlated assets in strategic equity allocation. Dynamic Wealth Group posted this image. Visit https://www.DynamicWG.com.

Fundamentals are shifting:

  1. Clothing inventories in the U.S. are low, as many retailers front-loaded their purchases in an attempt to get ahead of tariffs. We are likely to see a restocking cycle now that many of those inventories have been worked off.
  2. Planted acreage of  cotton  in the U.S. has declined rapidly due to prolonged periods of low prices. Despite low grain prices, many farmers have shifted acres from cotton to soybeans.   Across all regions, we are seeing total acreage planted fall to its lowest level since 2015, a time that preceded a 50% increase in the price (from 63 to 95 cents).  
  3. The world’s leading producer of cotton, India, just increased the MSP (Minimum Support Price) of cotton for the 2025-2026 season, setting a floor price that, when combined with insurance and freight charges, will cost consumers roughly $0.94/lb, making Indian cotton less competitive with domestic, U.S. cotton.

USDA Economic Research Service map showing 2025 cotton acreage estimates and percentage change from the 3-year average (2022–2024) across U.S. regions. The Southwest leads with Texas at 5.53 million acres (-14.7%) and Oklahoma at 330,000 acres (-34.7%), while Kansas shows a 3.7% increase. In the West, Arizona posts a 32.2% gain at 134,000 acres, but New Mexico records the sharpest decline at -50.8%. The Delta and Southeast regions reflect broad decreases, including Mississippi at -25.5%, Louisiana at -29.8%, and Florida at -30.6%. These regional shifts in cotton acreage highlight trends in the cotton futures market, influencing global macro strategy, soft commodities investing, and broader portfolio allocation across non-correlated assets. Dynamic Wealth Group posted this image. Visit https://www.DynamicWG.com.

We believe we are transitioning to a renewed bull market, and in August opened a long position in cotton futures.

Positioning in August

Many of the themes that impaired our performance in July reversed in August, reasserting fundamental trends that we have full confidence in.

Gold

The gold bull market that kicked off in March of 2024 shows no sign of slowing down. Most large allocators are fully invested in technology stocks, private equity, and private credit; no one has a meaningful allocation to gold. Real interest rates are about to decline, with political pressure on the Fed, and with trust in the rule of law in the U.S. weakened, flows into gold should continue.

Silver

In years past, we would have lumped silver in with gold as a higher-octane version of the primary precious metal. Silver still retains much of its value as a precious metal, but its role is shifting. Whereas 10 years ago perhaps 30% of silver’s demand came from industrial uses, today that number is closer to 40% and heading toward 50% in the next few years. The reason: solar photovoltaic panels are gobbling up increasing amounts of the metal.

2-year Treasuries

The Fed has just telegraphed an interest rate cut in September. That’s priced in. What’s not priced in is a rapid deterioration in the frozen U.S. labor market that coincides with an economic downturn and a much sharper set of interest rate cuts; we have been early to this theme but feel that we are on the cusp of a recession-driven interest rate cutting cycle.

Short U.S. dollar (via long British pound)

Sentiment on the U.K. economy is unrelentingly bearish. Newspaper headlines highlight a migrant crisis, stagnant GDP growth, and continued negative repercussions from the 2016 Brexit vote. We see a diverse economy with better separation of political and economic levers of power than stateside, alongside an undervalued currency. The pound can continue to rally.

Long cotton / short coffee

Although these two soft commodities have little in common with each other and hence should not be viewed as a spread trade, we are long cheaper cotton and short expensive coffee, essentially playing each from a fundamental value perspective. We have elucidated our cotton thesis above and have reinstated our coffee short, after capturing the first leg of the coffee bear market earlier this year – the coffee market rallied in recent weeks offering a second chance to put this trade on. Large speculators remain heavily short cotton and moderately long coffee, offering fuel for rallies in the former and long liquidation of existing positions in the latter. 


As always, we continue to be nimble. If the data and/or our views change, we can pivot our positioning and find other trades within the 40+ markets we have available. This is also why we maintain a strategic allocation to U.S. equities in our overall fund strategy, balancing a buy-and-hold approach with active global macro long/short positions. 

We Are Here To Help

We appreciate your continued trust and partnership and look forward to updating you on our progress in the coming months. Please feel free to reach out if we can provide additional clarification on specific ideas or the portfolio more broadly.

If you are a financial advisor and would like more information on our multi-dimensional approach towards asset management, you can download our white paper titled Busting Seven Risk and Return Myths by visiting our website at DynamicWG.com, or email us at info@DynamicWG.com. If you are an individual investor, we are happy to address any questions you may have and put you in touch with a qualified advisor, if so desired.


EQUITY INDICESENERGYMETALS
E-mini NASDAQ
E-Mini Russell 2000
E-mini S&P 500
MSCI EAFE Index
MSCI EM Index
Nikkei 225
Crude oil
Natural gas
NY Harbor ULSD
RBOB Gasoline
Copper
Gold
Palladium
Platinum
Silver

INTEREST RATESCURRENCYAGRICULTURE
SOFR
2-year Treasury note
5-year Treasury note
10-year Treasury note
30-Year Treasury
Australian dollar
Brazilian Real
British pound
Canadian dollar
Euro
Japanese yen
Mexican peso
New Zealand dollar
Swiss Franc
Cocoa
Coffee
Corn
Cotton
Feeder cattle
Lean hogs
Live cattle
Soybean meal
Soybean oil
Soybeans
Sugar #11
Wheat

The list above is not all inclusive.


Disclaimers:

Dynamic Alpha Approach diagram: a circle split into Strategic Equity (growth, broad market, and dividend) and Fundamental Macro (currencies, equities, bonds, energies, metals, and agriculture), combined to pursue Dynamic Alpha. This image was posted by Dynamic Alpha Funds https://www.DynamicAlphaFunds.com
Morningstar 5-Star Overall Rating seal awarded to the Dynamic Alpha Macro Fund (DYMIX). This image was posted by Dynamic Alpha Funds https://www.DynamicAlphaFunds.com

Dynamic Alpha Macro Fund Institutional Class (DYMIX)

Received a 5-Star Overall Morningstar Rating™.

The Overall Morningstar Rating™ is based on the Fund’s risk-adjusted performance among 37 Macro Trading funds for the three-year period ended September 30, 2026.

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